Pre-tourney Rankings
Florida St.
Atlantic Coast
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+17.1#18
Expected Predictive Rating+17.1#18
Pace73.5#53
Improvement+2.7#64

Offense
Total Offense+9.6#17
First Shot+8.3#17
After Offensive Rebound+1.3#82
Layup/Dunks+7.5#3
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#229
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#183
Freethrows+2.4#39
Improvement+0.9#130

Defense
Total Defense+7.5#26
First Shot+7.9#10
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#231
Layups/Dunks+2.4#92
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#55
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#49
Freethrows+0.7#129
Improvement+1.8#72
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.3% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 3.7% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 89.2% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 3.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round88.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen51.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight23.3% n/a n/a
Final Four10.5% n/a n/a
Championship Game4.4% n/a n/a
National Champion1.7% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 4 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2016 311   Charleston Southern W 88-67 99%     1 - 0 +8.5 +0.8 +6.8
  Nov 15, 2016 127   Iona W 99-78 94%     2 - 0 +20.4 +12.3 +5.8
  Nov 18, 2016 115   Winthrop W 100-86 93%     3 - 0 +14.4 +18.0 -5.0
  Nov 20, 2016 295   Detroit Mercy W 100-71 99%     4 - 0 +17.8 +9.6 +5.9
  Nov 24, 2016 107   Temple L 86-89 89%     4 - 1 +0.5 +13.9 -13.4
  Nov 25, 2016 64   Illinois W 72-61 79%     5 - 1 +19.5 +14.6 +6.4
  Nov 28, 2016 32   Minnesota W 75-67 75%     6 - 1 +18.1 +5.5 +12.1
  Dec 04, 2016 113   George Washington W 67-48 90%     7 - 1 +22.1 -3.5 +26.1
  Dec 06, 2016 316   Southern Miss W 98-49 99%     8 - 1 +36.1 +17.0 +16.6
  Dec 08, 2016 318   Nicholls St. W 118-63 99%     9 - 1 +42.0 +24.1 +11.2
  Dec 11, 2016 8   Florida W 83-78 52%     10 - 1 +21.7 +17.5 +4.0
  Dec 17, 2016 289   Manhattan W 83-67 98%     11 - 1 +7.9 +12.3 -3.5
  Dec 19, 2016 162   Samford W 76-68 95%     12 - 1 +5.6 -2.0 +7.4
  Dec 28, 2016 29   Wake Forest W 88-72 74%     13 - 1 1 - 0 +26.4 +13.3 +12.8
  Dec 31, 2016 11   @ Virginia W 60-58 37%     14 - 1 2 - 0 +22.4 +13.7 +9.2
  Jan 07, 2017 36   Virginia Tech W 93-78 77%     15 - 1 3 - 0 +24.2 +16.2 +7.3
  Jan 10, 2017 10   Duke W 88-72 55%     16 - 1 4 - 0 +31.8 +17.4 +14.0
  Jan 14, 2017 3   @ North Carolina L 83-96 28%     16 - 2 4 - 1 +10.1 +9.7 +2.0
  Jan 18, 2017 25   Notre Dame W 83-80 66%     17 - 2 5 - 1 +15.9 +10.1 +5.6
  Jan 21, 2017 7   Louisville W 73-68 52%     18 - 2 6 - 1 +21.7 +8.1 +13.6
  Jan 25, 2017 77   @ Georgia Tech L 56-78 77%     18 - 3 6 - 2 -12.7 -5.3 -7.4
  Jan 28, 2017 46   @ Syracuse L 72-82 63%     18 - 4 6 - 3 +3.6 +3.3 +0.2
  Feb 01, 2017 31   @ Miami (FL) W 75-57 57%     19 - 4 7 - 3 +33.4 +29.0 +8.4
  Feb 05, 2017 39   Clemson W 109-61 78%     20 - 4 8 - 3 +57.0 +37.0 +19.0
  Feb 08, 2017 94   North Carolina St. W 95-71 91%     21 - 4 9 - 3 +26.3 +23.3 +3.8
  Feb 11, 2017 25   @ Notre Dame L 72-84 47%     21 - 5 9 - 4 +6.0 +3.9 +2.5
  Feb 18, 2017 73   @ Pittsburgh L 66-80 75%     21 - 6 9 - 5 -3.8 +5.3 -11.0
  Feb 20, 2017 138   Boston College W 104-72 95%     22 - 6 10 - 5 +30.8 +20.0 +7.5
  Feb 25, 2017 39   @ Clemson W 76-74 62%     23 - 6 11 - 5 +16.1 +17.0 -0.7
  Feb 28, 2017 10   @ Duke L 70-75 36%     23 - 7 11 - 6 +15.9 +8.2 +7.4
  Mar 04, 2017 31   Miami (FL) W 66-57 74%     24 - 7 12 - 6 +19.3 +10.7 +9.9
  Mar 09, 2017 36   Virginia Tech W 74-68 70%     25 - 7 +17.8 +4.2 +13.7
  Mar 10, 2017 25   Notre Dame L 73-77 57%     25 - 8 +11.5 +7.1 +4.4
Projected Record 25.0 - 8.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 3.6 0.3 3.5 40.4 45.1 10.5 0.3 0.0 100.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3.6 0.3 3.5 40.4 45.1 10.5 0.3 0.0 100.0%